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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #115PM monthly #10PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)65% (17 of 26 open)72% (124 of 172 open)72% (52 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $2.9KAlexandra Eala $13KAlexandra Eala $38K—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $911Magda Linette $5.1KMai Hontama $8.0K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Thunder $20KGrizzlies $183—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $238—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.0K—Under $803—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
—Nishesh Basavareddy $3Jerome Kym $5.3K—
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.2KOver $915—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.5KOver $432—
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Oriol Roca Batalla $609Nicolas Kicker $1.7K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $2.1KKilian Feldbausch $137—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—Yes $40—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Rinky Hijikata $364—Rinky Hijikata $2.1K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $506Wizards $166—
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $390Chitwan Rhinos $69——