Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026MadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)35% (3649–6673, n=10322)49% (951–992, n=1943)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.0M$12K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #870PM monthly #598PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)73% (19 of 26 open)52% (70 of 134 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—19% (won 100% of 94)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026MadridTimeprimm
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.9KUnder $4.1KUnder $25—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $12KRyan Nijboer $114—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $8.5KAFC Bournemouth $231—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $8.5KSouthern Miss $10—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Under $87—
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Alastair Gray $118Aidan Mayo $155—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $60—No $174—
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $20KNuno Borges $15K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $15KCanadiens $2—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Dalibor Svrcina $8.7KDalibor Svrcina $91—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $870Francesco Maestrelli $34—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $302Over $9—