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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Aidan Mayo — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Aidan Mayo

Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray

Resolved Aidan Mayo. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Aidan Mayo. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Aidan Mayo 65%

Total Value

$13.9K

Combined PnL

$256.06

Smart Money Signal

Aidan Mayo

13 of 20 top traders (65%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Aidan Mayo100%
Alastair Gray0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Aidan Mayo13 traders
Total Value$13.9K
Total Shares13,896
Combined PnL+$525.39
Alastair Gray7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares8,506
Combined PnL-$269.33
Aidan Mayo — 65%Alastair Gray — 35%
LI
Limousin
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$9,984.37

Value

$10.1K

PnL

+$130.63

Record

53%

1421-1264 (2685)

FL
Flaznorp
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$1,728.7

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$318.81

Record

51%

25736-24442 (50178)

TH
thestingsnake
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$664.09

Value

$788.32

PnL

+$124.23

Record

60%

4436-2970 (7406)

VE
Venusian
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$300.04

Value

$214

PnL

-$86.04

Record

51%

1376-1340 (2716)

MA
MadridTime
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$156.31

Value

$171

PnL

+$14.69

Record

50%

1322-1299 (2621)

OM
omnibus-076daa
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$103.2

Value

$159.3

PnL

+$7.76

Record

50%

21164-21421 (42585)

1L
1lovejump
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$331.11

Value

$138.05

PnL

-$19.06

Record

53%

782-707 (1489)

PA
pauleta23
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$91.42

Value

$108.87

PnL

+$17.45

Record

66%

24256-12368 (36624)

0X
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$52.17

Value

$56.77

PnL

+$4.6

Record

52%

14487-13178 (27665)

BI
BillBenter2026<$100
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$45.12

Value

$50

PnL

+$4.88

Record

57%

19335-14310 (33645)

65
6512395314597884<$100
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$40.59

Value

$40.79

PnL

+$0.2

Record

51%

4763-4628 (9391)

TRCM<$100
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$3.41

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.13

Record

55%

4057-3273 (7330)

FE
ferrariChampions2026CTR
Alastair Gray

Invested

$247.5

Value

—

PnL

-$247.5

Record

42%

7993-11187 (19180)

SC
SchruteBucks
Aidan Mayo

Invested

$173.2

Value

$1.43

PnL

+$6.11

Record

56%

1946-1509 (3455)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$5.56

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

58%

46675-33635 (80310)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$1.96

Value

—

PnL

-$1.96

Record

52%

1374-1289 (2663)

AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

52%

8761-7967 (16728)

0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$7.45

Value

—

PnL

-$7.45

Record

65%

5272-2886 (8158)

EU
EulhunterCTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$8.27

Value

—

PnL

-$8.27

Record

54%

6274-5339 (11613)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Alastair Gray

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

48%

61037-65871 (126908)