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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | googleplay | hgawx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 33% (1–2, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | -$6.1K | $320K | -$8.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #967 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | googleplay | hgawx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | — | Kings $68K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $112K | — | Trail Blazers $52K | — |