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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | shineforever | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 53% (72–63, n=135) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $5.3M | $14.8M | $137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #218 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (14 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (35 of 57 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 63% (won 4% of 77) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 2% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 2% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 33% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | shineforever |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $500 | — | Suns $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $266 | — | Warriors $510 | — |