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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677whig
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)45% (10–12, n=22)62% (415–251, n=666)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$349K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #2was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position65% (36 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)45% (won 13% of 283)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 43% of 111)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)65% (won 73% of 11)13% (won 81% of 80)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)18% (won 67% of 3)25% (won 95% of 158)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677whig
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45—Yes $9.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—Yes $324