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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677whig
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)45% (10–12, n=22)62% (414–251, n=665)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$5.3M$356K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)71% (168 of 237 open)no open consensus position71% (40 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)45% (won 13% of 280)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 43% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)13% (won 81% of 79)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)25% (won 95% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677whig
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56——Yes $9.5K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $543
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4K——Yes $508
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $67KTommy Paul $12K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6K——