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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 65% (28–15, n=43) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #744 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 61% (38 of 62 open) | 90% (9 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 33% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 56% (won 93% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $1.8K | — | Florida Atlantic $736 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $500 | — | Suns $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $266 | — | Warriors $510 | — |