← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | no settled market | 67% (455–225, n=680) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $2 | -$137K | -$30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #44 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 38% (11 of 29 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 1 at avg 46¢, ROI +29% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $487K | — | Thunder $20K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.1K | — | Trail Blazers $178 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.4K | — | Thunder $301 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | — | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — |