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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (381–551, n=932) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1031–1032, n=2063) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #458 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 68% (74 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=104 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1748 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 605) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 44% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 67% of 54) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1044) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2 | Yes $14K | — | — |