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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2658–3562, n=6220) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | — | $9.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #503 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #101 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (32 of 64 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=938 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1758) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 464) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 143) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 905) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | No $417 | — | — | Yes $345 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $278K | Yes $11K |