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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2732–3663, n=6395) | no settled market | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14167–15642, n=29809) |
| Consensus PnL | $96K | — | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | — | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (34 of 60 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (52 of 72 open) | 49% (19 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=1011 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 3485 at avg 38¢, ROI −3% | — | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1867) | — | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 490) | — | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 147) | — | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 981) | — | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | No $14 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | No $240 | — | Yes $379 | — |