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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2742–3661, n=6403) | no settled market | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | — | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #503 | — | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (34 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (81 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=938 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1758) | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 464) | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 143) | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 905) | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | No $13 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | No $437 | — | Yes $379 | — |