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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (150–63, n=213) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | -$54K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #823 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=118 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 218 at avg 84¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 24% of 25) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 22% of 9) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 84% (won 95% of 183) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $136 | — | Yes $68 | — |