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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)71% (310–124, n=434)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL-$63K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #611PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)75% (3 of 4 open)90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=104———
Settled positions, side won64% of 466 at avg 63¢, ROI −3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 66)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 32% of 104)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 66% of 93)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 93% of 203)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K—Yes $15K—