Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)31% (3497–7693, n=11190)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$64K$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #522was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won97% of 1556 at avg 65¢, ROI +30%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 78% of 153)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 98% of 269)29% (won 56% of 62)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 414)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 100% of 720)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.