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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | juice-fruit | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 62% (13–8, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $152K | — | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 50% (13 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 9% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 27% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 64% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | juice-fruit | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $340 | — | — | Akron $30 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $2.5K | — | — | Miami (OH) $2.3K |