← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x498d2... | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (7–4, n=11) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.9K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 10 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 0% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x498d2... | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | Yes $82K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $33K | — | Yes $51K | — |