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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (612–697, n=1309) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $70K | $9.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #99 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (370 of 463 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $184 | No $182K | — |