← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (621–877, n=1498) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $75K | $7.9M | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (26 of 48 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 76% (196 of 257 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $26 | No $63K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | Yes $56K | — | — |