← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (591–676, n=1267) | no settled market | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | — | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #33 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #145 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (193 of 274 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $160 | — | No $482K | — |