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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7joseph00677S-Worksweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)59% (1042–739, n=1781)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2556–858, n=3414)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$287K$3.2M$3.6M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #7PM monthly #66Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus75% (165 of 220 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41—Crypto −1 pts, n=46Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.