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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)40% (317–471, n=788)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$17K$3.5M$11.0M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #534was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus68% (59 of 87 open)no open consensus position85% (160 of 189 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMLB −2 pts, n=64———
Settled positions, side won36% of 814 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 7% of 447)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 105)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 63% of 121)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 97% of 141)24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K—No $407K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $131—Yes $278K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $970—Yes $15K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $144—Yes $31—