Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankLimousinRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)56% (700–539, n=1239)47% (14329–15967, n=30296)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M$39K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #145PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (79 of 111 open)51% (65 of 127 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=89, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=266, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +26 pts n=18, ROI +36%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 79% of 58)7% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 200)21% (won 100% of 84)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 194)20% (won 100% of 80)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)53% (won 100% of 214)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankLimousinRN1
Chennai Open: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Katarzyna Kawa
opposite sides · consensus Katarzyna Kawa
——Katarzyna Kawa $439Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $28K
Luanda: Zongyu Li vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
opposite sides · consensus Zongyu Li
——Zongyu Li $2.3KAna Sofia Sanchez $1.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
——Tommy Paul $1.1KTommy Paul $3.6K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Maayan Laron
same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
——Justina Mikulskyte $112Justina Mikulskyte $3.5K
Taranto: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
——Hugo Grenier $1.6KHugo Grenier $1.6K
Charlottesville: Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer
same side · consensus Alastair Gray
——Alastair Gray $429Alastair Gray $2.2K
W50 Heraklion: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Charo Esquiva Banuls
same side · consensus Charo Esquiva Banuls
——Charo Esquiva Banuls $12Charo Esquiva Banuls $34