← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | donube | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $1.1M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #196 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 79% (130 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | donube | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $59K | Yes $21K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $40K | No $199 | — |