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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ppku6298 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 42% (94–129, n=223) | 47% (13990–15476, n=29466) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.1M | $34K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (117 of 181 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 46% (42 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 106 at avg 49¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 62% (won 83% of 66) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 35% (won 89% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ppku6298 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Thunder $337K | Cavaliers $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $249K | — | Pelicans $823 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $44K | — | Pelicans $257 |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $30K | Pacers $4.7K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Wizards $4.9K | Magic $258 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.9K | Over $199 |
| Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.0K | Over $253 |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Hawks $127 | — | Pacers $156 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | — | Bulls $3.0K | Bulls $227 |