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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241MadridTimendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (789–776, n=1565)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—-$5.0K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #789PM monthly #143PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (49 of 84 open)73% (33 of 45 open)67% (117 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 100% of 63)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 100% of 83)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—55% (won 100% of 201)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241MadridTimendb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
—Maria Sakkari $2.9K—Maya Joint $13K
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $4—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $46—Under $4.2K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $1.7K—Martyna Kubka $2.4K
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $2.6K—Gina Feistel $1.6K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Jeline Vandromme $1.1K—Jeline Vandromme $679
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $137—Under $1.5K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $76—No $1.2K
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $10—No $210