Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 38%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$36.1K

Combined PnL

$-2.9K

Smart Money Signal

Over

8 of 21 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over8 traders

Total Value$35.7K

Total Shares35,663

Combined PnL+$14.2K

Under13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares41,630

Combined PnL$-17.1K

Over — 38%Under — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA DaBossHogg	Overavg 59.9¢	$15.6K	$26.0K	+$10.4K	51% 224-215 (439)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 41.5¢	$7.8K	—	$-7.8K	51% 24233-22959 (47192)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Underavg 40.6¢	$4.2K	—	$-4.2K	50% 36339-35820 (72159)
PU purplegatto	Overavg 62.2¢	$2.7K	$4.4K	+$1.7K	49% 6204-6345 (12549)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 56¢	$1.4K	$2.5K	+$1.1K	47% 11082-12418 (23500)
RN1CTR	Underavg 40¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K	53% 60065-52434 (112499)
GC GC-PARB<$100	Underavg 40.4¢	$1.1K	$439.49	-$646.82	39% 1339-2113 (3452)
└ Under leg	Underavg 40.4¢	$831.99	—	-$831.99
└ Over leg	Overavg 57.9¢	$254.32	$439.49	+$185.17
LU LuckyLooCTR	Underavg 39¢	$941.7	—	-$917.56	49% 14327-15003 (29330)
DA darkumbreon88	Overavg 56.9¢	$781.01	$1.4K	+$591.47	64% 1892-1053 (2945)
38 38791873984189	Overavg 58.9¢	$769.67	$871.85	+$256.82	48% 59324-63332 (122656)
NM NM-PCTR	Underavg 40.5¢	$635.38	—	-$635.38	40% 1343-2037 (3380)
SE sentrioCTR	Underavg 41.3¢	$606.89	—	-$606.89	50% 25488-25195 (50683)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Underavg 42.5¢	$612.84	—	-$612.84	52% 1149-1045 (2194)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Underavg 42.9¢	$360.72	—	-$360.72	51% 1095-1048 (2143)
VE VenusianCTR	Underavg 42.9¢	$313.12	—	-$313.12	52% 1162-1079 (2241)
FO forecastication4	Overavg 59.7¢	$237.07	$397.31	+$160.24	50% 1337-1356 (2693)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Underavg 42¢	$168	—	-$168	51% 1793-1714 (3507)
poshposh	Overavg 55.7¢	$72.41	$129.96	+$57.55	57% 12279-9333 (21612)
US User7429<$100	Overavg 57.7¢	$30.28	$52.48	+$22.19	56% 8926-7132 (16058)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Underavg 43¢	$29.51	—	-$29.51	51% 7653-7369 (15022)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Underavg 42.2¢	$26.59	—	-$26.59	54% 1193-1031 (2224)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Underavg 39.7¢	$63.43	—	-$20.93	58% 19471-14317 (33788)