Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme

12 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold Robin Montgomery (75%) · Robin Montgomery at 75¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 11

Robin Montgomery75¢Jeline Vandromme25¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Robin Montgomery

Consensus Traders

Robin Montgomery 75%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$11.3K

Combined PnL

-$104.07

Smart Money Entry

64.4¢ → 74.5¢

+16% since entry · 12 traders

Research grade

NeutralRobin Montgomery at 75%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Robin Montgomery

12 of 16 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Robin Montgomery75%

Jeline Vandromme26%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Robin Montgomery12 traders

Total Value$6.7K

Total Shares9,171

Combined PnL+$331.36

Jeline Vandromme4 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares4,682

Combined PnL-$435.43

Robin Montgomery — 75%Jeline Vandromme — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VE VenusianARB<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.4¢	$3.2K	$2.9K	-$315.85	52% 1149-1066 (2215)
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.4¢	$2.4K	$2.3K	-$85.71
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 33¢	$890.37	$660.23	-$230.14
tradecraft	Robin Montgomeryavg 60.1¢	$1.9K	$2.1K	+$205.58	51% 6270-6023 (12293)
65 6512395314597884	Robin Montgomeryavg 70¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$84.38	51% 4564-4425 (8989)
FL Flaznorp	Robin Montgomeryavg 60.3¢	$641.74	$808.89	+$167.14	51% 24004-22756 (46760)
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 41¢	$1.2K	$744.39	-$407.31	71% 7038-2817 (9855)
1L 1lovejump	Robin Montgomeryavg 62.2¢	$1.1K	$670.91	+$23.91	52% 730-668 (1398)
AU austr	Robin Montgomeryavg 77.9¢	$505.75	$496.75	-$9	64% 596-340 (936)
VeryLucky888	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$464.27	$456.45	-$7.82	58% 45382-32888 (78270)
LI LightParadoxARB<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 35.1¢	$505.67	$433.71	-$71.96	53% 1134-1025 (2159)
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 75¢	$230.88	$226.38	-$4.5
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 35.1¢	$274.78	$207.33	-$67.46
RN1	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.9¢	$333.48	$328.68	-$4.81	53% 60020-52387 (112407)
LI LimousinCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 28.5¢	$296.75	$269.35	-$27.4	54% 1178-1008 (2186)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 26.1¢	$241.8	$240.43	-$1.37	51% 1084-1025 (2109)
0xheavy888<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$95.76	$94.08	-$1.68	56% 7694-6169 (13863)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 75.5¢	$49.1	$49.08	-$0.02	57% 19055-14098 (33153)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 43¢	$27.61	$28.25	+$0.64	61% 14014-9029 (23043)
TH thestingsnake	Robin Montgomeryavg 61.4¢	$724.98	$20.13	-$126.56	60% 4334-2905 (7239)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 74¢	$18.5	$18.63	+$0.13	52% 14207-12987 (27194)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$5.7	$5.8	+$0.1	82% 6948-1498 (8446)

VenusianARB<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$3,240.75

Value

$2.9K

PnL

-$315.85

Record

52%

1149-1066 (2215)

Both legs:

Robin Montgomery$2,350.3878.4¢-$85.71

Jeline Vandromme$890.3733¢-$230.14

tradecraft

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,941.98

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$205.58

Record

51%

6270-6023 (12293)

6512395314597884

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,487.7

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$84.38

Record

51%

4564-4425 (8989)

Flaznorp

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$641.74

Value

$808.89

PnL

+$167.14

Record

51%

24004-22756 (46760)

AnonymousUsernameCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$1,151.69

Value

$744.39

PnL

-$407.31

Record

71%

7038-2817 (9855)

1lovejump

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,129.99

Value

$670.91

PnL

+$23.91

Record

52%

730-668 (1398)

austr

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$505.75

Value

$496.75

PnL

-$9

Record

64%

596-340 (936)

VeryLucky888

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$464.27

Value

$456.45

PnL

-$7.82

Record

58%

45382-32888 (78270)

LightParadoxARB<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$505.67

Value

$433.71

PnL

-$71.96

Record

53%

1134-1025 (2159)

Both legs:

Robin Montgomery$230.8875¢-$4.5

Jeline Vandromme$274.7835.1¢-$67.46

RN1

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$333.48

Value

$328.68

PnL

-$4.81

Record

53%

60020-52387 (112407)

LimousinCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$296.75

Value

$269.35

PnL

-$27.4

Record

54%

1178-1008 (2186)

MadridTimeCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$241.8

Value

$240.43

PnL

-$1.37

Record

51%

1084-1025 (2109)

0xheavy888<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$95.76

Value

$94.08

PnL

-$1.68

Record

56%

7694-6169 (13863)

BillBenter2026<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$49.1

Value

$49.08

PnL

-$0.02

Record

57%

19055-14098 (33153)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$27.61

Value

$28.25

PnL

+$0.64

Record

61%

14014-9029 (23043)

thestingsnake

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$724.98

Value

$20.13

PnL

-$126.56

Record

60%

4334-2905 (7239)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$18.5

Value

$18.63

PnL

+$0.13

Record

52%

14207-12987 (27194)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$5.7

Value

$5.8

PnL

+$0.1

Record

82%

6948-1498 (8446)

Research grade

NeutralRobin Montgomery at 75%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Robin Montgomery

12 of 16 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Robin Montgomery wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance76.4%

74.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$30.85

Max Loss

-$100.00

130.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.