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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | haveagoodday | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 37% (1376–2329, n=3705) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $6.1M | $20K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | — | — | PM monthly #128 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (130 of 178 open) | 76% (28 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Elections −3 pts, n=583 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 2472 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 34% (won 1% of 837) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 4% (won 42% of 99) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 6% (won 63% of 153) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 56% (won 96% of 1383) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | haveagoodday | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2 | Yes $466K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | — | No $47 | No $1.4M |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $38 | No $7.1K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $4 | No $3.2K |