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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5F45b60C29d6e4D55c0bFd8dDD39ad45C5e0a77A-1761473032186 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (193–187, n=380) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −10 pts, n=17 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 63) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 38% of 127) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 62% of 202) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 89% of 79) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5F45b60C29d6e4D55c0bFd8dDD39ad45C5e0a77A-1761473032186 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $5.3K | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |