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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1306–1951, n=3257) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | -$20K | $7.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (3 of 12 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 61% (51 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=17 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 7% of 899) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 60% of 152) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 147) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 85% of 68) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | No $24 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |