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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)40% (1301–1936, n=3237)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)
Consensus PnL-$21K$7.9M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #92PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus30% (3 of 10 open)88% (22 of 25 open)70% (52 of 74 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—