← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (131–314, n=445) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 50% (10–10, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | -$5.0K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=45 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 88 at avg 5¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 1% of 86) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $902K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $52K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $6 | Yes $40K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | Yes $28K | — | — |