← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 25% (97–285, n=382) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$611 | $14.8M | $4.4M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=45 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 88 at avg 5¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 1% of 86) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | No $919K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $55K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | — | Yes $48K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | — | Yes $28K |