Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (196–244, n=440)53% (20–18, n=38)66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL—$6.7K-$43K-$147K
Tracked as—PM monthly #47PM monthly #71PM monthly #45 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (13 of 16 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 67)55% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $100—Maxence Bertimon $14
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
same side · consensus Tina Nadine Smith
—Tina Nadine Smith $2.5K—Tina Nadine Smith $1.0K