Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)39% (1382–2135, n=3517)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL-$60K$14.8M$194K
Tracked asPM monthly #161PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus62% (283 of 457 open)55% (26 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Economy +8 pts n=32, ROI −19%
  • F1 +7 pts n=10, ROI −3%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=358——
Settled positions, side won38% of 1384 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 3% of 385)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 43% of 743)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 52% of 105)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 95% of 151)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.