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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (131–47, n=178) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 88% (130 of 147 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics ±0 pts, n=33 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 79% of 263 at avg 77¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 0% of 30) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 40% of 15) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 67% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 73% (won 97% of 191) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20K | Yes $33K | — | — |