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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7986576408b65a9805AC85553Be33Ad0B044BAa5-1781719173927 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 68% (17–8, n=25) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 67% (2–1, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.2K | $884K | $208K | $87K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #425 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 214 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 20% of 54) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 36% of 83) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 69% of 52) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 25) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7986576408b65a9805AC85553Be33Ad0B044BAa5-1781719173927 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $49 | — | Magic $70K |