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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107beachboy4CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)48% (2154–2335, n=4489)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$76K$5.8M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #405was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus27% (22 of 82 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 4 open)60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=1115, ROI +1%
  • NBA +10 pts n=68, ROI +19%
  • MLB +2 pts n=444, ROI −3%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 5% of 1196)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 61% of 23)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 53% of 15)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 1828)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.