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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293BreakTheBankCORGIIjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)56% (842–652, n=1494)46% (560–665, n=1225)61% (400–251, n=651)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$52K$11.2M$216K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #824PM monthly #2PM monthly #63PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus75% (114 of 152 open)48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=44, ROI −3%
  • F1 +5 pts n=27, ROI 0%
  • Esports +4 pts n=22, ROI 0%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=885———
Settled positions, side won62% of 1699 at avg 62¢, ROI −2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 405 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 2% of 602)10% (won 81% of 57)9% (won 92% of 36)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 42% of 48)36% (won 98% of 201)56% (won 99% of 225)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 60)35% (won 99% of 196)34% (won 100% of 137)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 989)19% (won 100% of 109)2% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293BreakTheBankCORGIIjoseph00677
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $15No $15K——