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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGIIsainttroplay
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (197–343, n=540) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $52K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #544 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=738 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1363 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 2% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 39% of 31) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 72% of 43) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 824) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4 | — | Yes $29K |