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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (590–417, n=1007) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #439 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 163 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 71% of 7) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 41) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 70% (won 99% of 114) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $203 | Lorenzo Musetti $46K | — | — |