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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (529–3674, n=4203) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14145–15755, n=29900) |
| Consensus PnL | -$85K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #238 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (59 of 119 open) | 66% (72 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (20 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −9 pts, n=164 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 24% of 2478 at avg 28¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 2% of 1667) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 143) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 51% of 179) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 85% of 489) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $9 | No $125 | — | — |