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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fjoseph00677RN1ndb1
Record (consensus markets)13% (522–3611, n=4133)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL-$85K$5.6M$14.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #190PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus54% (21 of 39 open)no open consensus position55% (26 of 47 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment −6 pts, n=163——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won30% of 1983 at avg 31¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 5% of 1258)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 44% of 173)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 58% of 137)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 91% of 415)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fjoseph00677RN1ndb1
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus Yes
No $144——No $17
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3——No $8