Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dF121beachboy4ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)85% (76–13, n=89)68% (43–20, n=63)66% (875–457, n=1332)47% (14202–15801, n=30003)
Consensus PnL$34K$5.9M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #493was PM monthly #24PM monthly #22PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)100% (2 of 2 open)71% (95 of 134 open)56% (20 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won78% of 74 at avg 70¢, ROI +6%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 28% of 18)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 50% of 2)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 39% of 252)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 100% of 3)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 306)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 96% of 51)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 540)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dF121beachboy4ndb1RN1
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $607——No $660
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $108——Under $47