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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (89–12, n=101) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $66K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (8 of 9 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=14 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 276 at avg 91¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 14% of 7) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 75% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 63% of 8) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 93% (won 96% of 257) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $252 | No $202K | — | — |