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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700BreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (1820–1086, n=2906)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$22K$10.6M$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position91% (148 of 163 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +35 pts n=1394, ROI +36%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won98% of 1394 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 95% of 61)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 98% of 325)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 98% of 422)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 99% of 586)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.