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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)100% (15–0, n=15)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$62$779K—-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #1PM monthly #158PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus89% (263 of 294 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −3 pts, n=11—NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won64% of 575 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 3% of 187)11% (won 69% of 36)19% (won 10% of 96)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 20% of 20)35% (won 97% of 116)21% (won 35% of 105)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 73% of 30)37% (won 99% of 124)27% (won 54% of 132)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 338)17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 91% of 163)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.