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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (87–114, n=201)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)66% (901–474, n=1375)
Consensus PnL$28K$9.4M$3.3M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #860PM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (29 of 34 open)74% (132 of 178 open)73% (110 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −13 pts, n=43—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won43% of 181 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 11% of 46)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 32% of 59)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 62% of 47)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 83% of 29)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278K—Yes $11K